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Imobilele ?i creditele, victime ale crizei

Imobilele ?i creditele, victime ale crizei

Criza de pe pie?ele financiare interna?ionale va avea ?i efecte pozitive in Romania: ieftinirea caselor sau cel pu?in plafonarea pre?urilor la nivelul actual. Cu toate acestea, romanii nu se vor putea bucura din plin de sc?derile de costuri din cauz? c? imprumuturile pe care le vor putea lua vor fi mai mici ?i mai scumpe.

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Potrivit lui Varujan Vosganian, ministrul

economiei ?i finan?elor, in contextul turbulen?elor de pe pie?ele externe

„intrevedem in viitor o eventual? reducere la nivelul pre?urilor construc?iilor

civile“. Aceasta dup? ce costurile locuin?elor destinate popula?iei au ajuns

„excesiv de mari, iar aceast? cre?tere nu putea continua la nesfar?it“, a

declarat oficialul MEF, ieri, la Ia?i, in cadrul conferin?ei de evaluare

economic? pe termen mediu, organizat? de Comisia Na?ional? de Prognoz?. Aceasta

nu inseamn? ins? c? domeniul construc?iilor va avea mult de suferit din cauza

crizei. In opinia ministrului de finan?e, construc?iile vor continua s?

creasc?, ins? cu o evolu?ie mai moderat?.

 

Criza taie din cre?terea economic?

 

La o plafonare a pre?urilor caselor ?i

apartamentelor in urm?toarea perioad? se a?teapt? ?i Juan Fernandez-Ansola,

reprezentantul Fondului Monetar Interna?ional (FMI) pentru Romania ?i Bulgaria.

 

Pe pia?a imobiliar? romaneasc? se observ?

deja o incetinire a vanz?rilor ?i o stopare a nivelului pre?urilor, a precizat

oficialul FMI. Consecin?a va fi o sc?dere a investi?iilor in domeniul

imobiliar, ins? nu foarte mare, deoarece cererea de case dep??e?te in

continuare oferta.

 

Alte domenii care se men?in atractive

pentru investitori, chiar ?i in contextul turbulen?elor financiare, sunt

produc?ia ?i serviciile, care sunt inc? mult mai profitabile in Romania fa?? de

alte state din UE, spune Ansola. Totu?i, criza de pe pie?ele externe ne va

scumpi creditele ?i ne va t?ia din cre?terea economic?, estimeaz?

reprezentantul FMI.

 

Efectul va fi resim?it deplin abia anul

viitor, cand economia Romaniei va cre?te cu 5%-6,5%, fa?? de peste 9%, nivelul

estimat de autorit??i pentru acest an, a afirmat el.

 

6,5% va fi cre?terea economic? in 2009,

estimeaz? Comisia Na?ional? de Prognoz?

 

Prognoze prea optimiste

 

La sfar?itul trimestrului al treilea,

cre?terea economic? a fost de 9,3%, in special datorit? recoltei bune din

agricultur?, a anun?at, ieri, Ion Ghizdeanu, pre?edintele Comisiei Na?ionale de

Prognoz? (CNP).

 

Speciali?tii CNP au revizuit in sus

cre?terea economic? estimat? pentru 2008 de la 6,5% la 9,1%, iar cea pentru

anul viitor a fost modificat? de la 6,1% la 6,5%. Varianta preliminar? a

prognozei de toamn? pentru anii 2008-2013, publicat? ieri de CNP, men?ine

previziunea asupra infla?iei din 2008 la nivelul celei anun?ate in prim?var?:

5,8%. In schimb, pentru anul viitor, estimarea infla?iei a urcat de la 4%, in

prognoza de prim?var?, la 4,5%, in cea publicat? ieri.

 

De asemenea, speciali?tii prognozei

estimeaz? c? salariul mediu va fi de 1.260 de lei in 2008, in cre?tere cu peste

20% fa?? de anul trecut. Prognoza de prim?var? indica un salariu mediu de 1.202

lei pentru acest an.

 

ANALIZA LUI B?SESCU

 

„Nu estimez transferul cutremurului in

Romania“

 

Criza din Statele Unite nu va avea o

replic? „profund?“ in Romania, sus?ine pre?edintele Traian B?sescu. Invitat

ieri la postul public de radio, ?eful statului a asigurat, invocand analizele de

la Cotroceni ?i discu?ii cu guvernatorul BNR, c? „Romania nu va fi afectat?

profund de criza bancar? din SUA, pentru c? nu are branch-uri (subsidiare,

francize - n.r.) ale b?ncilor aici“. „Se simte, dar nu ne va afecta profund, s?

spunem c? vom intra intr-o perioad? de criz?. Este un singur branch aici, dar

are activitate foarte sc?zut? ?i pozitiv?. Nu estimez transferul acestui

cutremur in Romania“. B?sescu a admis c? „se produc retrageri de la Burs?, c?

scad cota?iile, apoi mai cresc“, dar a ad?ugat c? „nu Bursa de Valori Bucure?ti

d? sange economiei, ci investi?iile directe, care au fost indreptate c?tre

produc?ie, ceea ce ne face s? fim lini?ti?i“. (Anca Simina)

 

Varujan Vosganian, ministrul economiei ?i

finan?elor: "Dac? in 2009 vom inregistra o cre?tere economic? de 6,5% nu

inseamn? o pr?bu?ire, cum se vehiculeaz?, ci tot un avans al economiei."

 

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Sursa: Business24
Articol citit de 2275 ori